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Nifty Futures Analysis- 14Oct2019

Nifty Futures are currently at 11,329 and they lost 100 points from day high of 14,333. In fact, Nifty futures have not been able to hold onto any of their gains, expect during the very few rally days in the last 2 months. Every gain of 100 points is faced with sharp selling within the same day in the afternoon session. This indicates very weak market sentiment and lack of buying interest.

However, Nifty index is now above its 200 day SMA, which is a positive sign. But this needs follow up confirmation, and we need the Nifty futures to stay above 11,300 and ideally, they should move above 11,400.

Nifty Futures Technical Analysis:
Based on today’s selling pressure, Nifty futures can go down till 11,260 this week to test lower level supports, and the upside target for this week is 11,480. There is a strong resistance at 11,500 and it will be difficult to cross that level this week. Nifty futures are safe for long trade as long as they are above their 200 SMA on hourly chart, which is currently at 11,180.

Nifty Futures Trading Strategy:
We want to buy Nifty futures on corrections and sell on rallies. We will aim for 50-100 points gain per trade. Nifty is not able to hold more than 100 points gain.

[Bonus Trade]
Buy Nifty Futures at 11,260 for Target 11,460 with 11,160 as Stop loss.

Crude Oil Futures Analysis- 02Oct2019

Crude Oil Futures (WTI) are at $53.94 per barrel, and they have a strong support between 53-54 levels. Interesting fact is that in last 17 trading sessions, the crude oil futures have done a green closing on only one day, and that the was day of the massive spike up after the supply disruption at Saudi Aramco refinery.

WTI Crude Oil Price Outlook:

  • Crude Oil Futures should retest 56 at least once in Oct 2019. A retest of 57 is also possible, but there will be constant selling pressure on each upmove.
  • Our crude oil trading strategy of buying on corrections and selling on rallies has restarted this week, and we have bought at 54, for target 56 and stop loss 51.
  • More buying can be done between 53-54 levels, because crude oil should find support at current levels for a pullback rally towards 56.
  • Please Note: In case of any new supply disruptions, we will see another spike towards 59-60 levels.