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Nifty Futures Analysis- 31Oct2019

Nifty Futures have moved up rapidly in the last one week after crossing 11,600 level. This upmove has been made using gap ups with truncated weeks due to market holidays. So this entire price range between 11,600 and 11,900 needs to be retested for any reliable upmove above 12,000.

Nifty Futures Technical Analysis Nifty Futures are currently at the top end of the Bolliger Bands range, and far above their short term moving averages of 5 and 10 days. Nifty Futures have major resistance at 11,950 and 12,060. The momentum has been going down, while price has been going up. So there is a good chance of 100-200 point correction in the next 1 week, before further upmove towards 12,000 because there will be major resistance and selling pressure at the higher levels.

Nifty Futures Trading Strategy: Investors can create long positions on corrections, as long as Nifty futures are above the 200 day moving average of 11,380. Nifty has been making big sharp moves on upside and downside since July 2019, and any reliable Nifty futures trading needs 100-200 point stop loss. Trading with 10 day moving average as the stop loss is also a good approach in such conditions.

Nifty Futures Analysis- 14Oct2019

Nifty Futures are currently at 11,329 and they lost 100 points from day high of 14,333. In fact, Nifty futures have not been able to hold onto any of their gains, expect during the very few rally days in the last 2 months. Every gain of 100 points is faced with sharp selling within the same day in the afternoon session. This indicates very weak market sentiment and lack of buying interest.

However, Nifty index is now above its 200 day SMA, which is a positive sign. But this needs follow up confirmation, and we need the Nifty futures to stay above 11,300 and ideally, they should move above 11,400.

Nifty Futures Technical Analysis:
Based on today’s selling pressure, Nifty futures can go down till 11,260 this week to test lower level supports, and the upside target for this week is 11,480. There is a strong resistance at 11,500 and it will be difficult to cross that level this week. Nifty futures are safe for long trade as long as they are above their 200 SMA on hourly chart, which is currently at 11,180.

Nifty Futures Trading Strategy:
We want to buy Nifty futures on corrections and sell on rallies. We will aim for 50-100 points gain per trade. Nifty is not able to hold more than 100 points gain.

[Bonus Trade]
Buy Nifty Futures at 11,260 for Target 11,460 with 11,160 as Stop loss.