Nifty Moving Average (SMA)
5 Day — 16,245
20 Day — 16,312
50 Day — 16,753
200 Day — 17,262
Current market price 15,750.
5 Day Moving Average, which is itself coming down rapidly, maybe tested by next Monday.
So the possibility of retest of 16,000 level is high in the next one week.
Nifty futures have been weak since 23 Jan 2020, and they are in the selling zone currently, and they lose ground rapidly. Gains made in 5-10 days can be lost in 1-2 days. The weekly chart shows clear weakness, with falling momentum. Nifty futures have support at 11,700 but we can’t be sure it will hold.
The 10 week SMA on the weekly chart has started curving down, and it takes several weeks of correction and consolidation to get back into an uptrend. We should not expect any support from the 50 week SMA because it has not worked in the past. So it looks like Nifty can see 300-500 points correction before a new uptrend.