Fundamental Analysis: Crude Oil futures have been correcting ever since they hit a high of $64.50 per barrel at the height of USA-Iran tension, and with calm returning back to the Middle East, the Crude Oil prices have been correcting daily, because supply is coming up constantly in the USA and the global demand is still the same, and not really rising faster than supply. So it’s also in the interest of Crude Oil producers to keep the Crude Oil prices under control without unstable price spirals. $50-60 looks like a price band that can provide stable price zone in the near term.
Technical Analysis: Crude Oil futures are giving Sell signal on various indicators on various near term time frames. Traders can sell with $61 per barrel as Stop loss, because if the current correction is real, then 61 should not come in the first place. Most Stop Losses on Sell trades will be at 60, so that is not suitable as a Stop loss, it should be a bit higher to avoid being caught in a unsustainable price spike due to short covering.
[Bonus Trade] Sell Crude Oil at 59 for Target 55 with Stop loss 61.
Crude Oil Support & Resistance Table – 13 Jan 2020
Support & Resistance | Level | Explanation |
Resistance 2 | 60.630 | Daily R2 |
Resistance 1 | 59.971 | Daily R1 |
Support 1 | 58.269 | Daily S1 |
Support 2 | 57.694 | Daily S2 |
Crude Oil Indicator Table – 13 Jan 2020
Indicator | Signal |
SMA 20 | Sell |
SMA 50 | Sell |
SMA 100 | Sell |
MACD( 12;26;9) | Sell |
RSI (14) | Sell |
Stochastic ( 9;6;3) | Sell |
Crude Oil Indicator/ Timeframe Table – 13 Jan 2020
Indicator / Period | Day – Sell | Week – Sell | Month – Buy |
MACD( 12;26;9) | Sell | Buy | Buy |
RSI (14) | Sell | Sell | Buy |
SMA 20 | Sell | Sell | Buy |