Tag Archives: Crude Oil Support Levels

Crude Oil Futures Analysis- 18Feb2020

Fundamental Analysis
Crude Oil futures traded lower during the Asian session at 51.95, tracking losses in financial markets on concerns over the economic impact of the coronavirus outbreak in China and its effect on oil demand. The number of new coronavirus infections in mainland China fell below 2,000 on Tuesday for the first time since January, Chinese health officials said.

The International Energy Agency said last week that the coronavirus was set to cause oil demand to fall by 435,000 barrels per day year-on-year in the first quarter, in what would be the first quarterly drop since the financial crisis in 2009.

Investors are also anticipating that the OPEC and its allies, including Russia, will approve a proposal to deepen production cuts to support prices. Oil output from Libya has fallen sharply because of a blockade of ports and oil fields by eastern-based commander Khalifa Haftar. Libya’s National Oil Corporation(NOC) said on Monday that oil production was at 135,745 barrels per day Monday, compared with 1.2 million bpd before the stoppage.

Technical Analysis
Indicator – Signal
SMA 20 Sell
SMA 50 Sell
SMA 100 Buy
MACD(12;26;9) Buy
RSI(14) Neutral
Stochastic(9;6;3) Buy

Support & Resistance Table
Resistance 2 52.75 Daily R2
Resistance 1 52.35 Daily R1
Support 1 51.56 Daily S1
Support 2 51.18 Daily S2

Crude Oil Futures Analysis- 13Jan2020

Fundamental Analysis: Crude Oil futures have been correcting ever since they hit a high of $64.50 per barrel at the height of USA-Iran tension, and with calm returning back to the Middle East, the Crude Oil prices have been correcting daily, because supply is coming up constantly in the USA and the global demand is still the same, and not really rising faster than supply. So it’s also in the interest of Crude Oil producers to keep the Crude Oil prices under control without unstable price spirals. $50-60 looks like a price band that can provide stable price zone in the near term.

Technical Analysis: Crude Oil futures are giving Sell signal on various indicators on various near term time frames. Traders can sell with $61 per barrel as Stop loss, because if the current correction is real, then 61 should not come in the first place. Most Stop Losses on Sell trades will be at 60, so that is not suitable as a Stop loss, it should be a bit higher to avoid being caught in a unsustainable price spike due to short covering.

[Bonus Trade] Sell Crude Oil at 59 for Target 55 with Stop loss 61.

Crude Oil Support & Resistance Table – 13 Jan 2020

Support & ResistanceLevelExplanation
Resistance 260.630Daily R2
Resistance 159.971Daily R1
Support 158.269Daily S1
Support 257.694Daily S2

Crude Oil Indicator Table – 13 Jan 2020

IndicatorSignal
SMA 20Sell
SMA 50Sell
SMA 100Sell
MACD( 12;26;9)Sell
RSI (14)Sell
Stochastic ( 9;6;3)Sell

Crude Oil Indicator/ Timeframe Table – 13 Jan 2020

Indicator / PeriodDay – SellWeek – SellMonth – Buy
MACD( 12;26;9)SellBuyBuy
RSI (14)SellSellBuy
SMA 20SellSellBuy