Tag Archives: NDX

Nasdaq Futures Analysis- 22Sep2020

Nasdaq Futures are recovering after hitting a low near 10,650 yesterday (Monday) morning. The 200 SMA on the 5 hour chart is a very likely target for the current upmove, which has been in progress since yesterday afternoon. The first indication of this recovery came in the first proper upmove yesterday afternoon, when the Nasdaq futures moved up by 150 points from 10,810 to 10,960 in one hour. That was the foundation of today’s upmove, and now the target of 11,300 is visible, which is the 200 SMA on the 5 hour chart. 11,300 will be a resistance level and we can expect selling pressure at that level.

The 200 SMA on the 5 hour chart is upward sloping (in uptrend), so the probability of it getting tested is high (much higher than if that was in down trend), because the Sellers would want to make sure that selling pressure is there if prices go higher. If buying starts coming in, then the Sellers will have to close their positions.

The 200 SMA on the Hourly chart was giving 11,150 as the target and it was achieved today. The Nasdaq futures have support at 10,900 level, but overall weakness is there and 10,500 is possible once 11,000 level is broken. Therefore, long trades have to be done very carefully. Exit longs below 10,900 (this was also the key support level earlier). Clean long trades will be possible above 11,600 for target 12,000 and above. Thanks.

S&P500 Futures Analysis- 13Sep2020

This past week saw significant selling pressure in all equity markets, including S&P500 (SPX) and Nasdaq100 (NDX). As we go into the weekend, the S&P500 futures have taken support at their 50 day moving average, which is at 3320.

 

This 50 day moving average should provide initial support in this rapid sell-off, like it has done in the past. If the futures start moving up above 3350, then 3400-3420 are targets, and that’s also the area of resistance, from where the futures failed to cross 4 times last week. Fresh long trades will be available above 3430 for targets of 3480, 3500, 3520. Absolute stop loss on all long positions should be 3300.

Please note that the selling pressure is coming from Nasdaq100 (NDX) index, which is had a nearly vertical run up (parabolic upmove) in August 2020, and that is unwinding now. We have to keep looking at Nasdaq100 to see when and where it stabilizes. For example, the stock of Apple (AAPL), which is a leading weight on all indices, had a parabolic upmove and has been facing strong selling pressure. Thanks.